Penn & Teller’s Bullshit

Posted January 22, 2007 by kennebecriver
Categories: Uncategorized

Early this decade, magicians and comedians Penn & Teller concocted a television program on the Showtime cable network called “Bullshit!”

Its first episodes were a very funny and astute debunking of hapless psychics and spoon benders.

A few episodes later, P&T shifted from rightly ridiculing pseudoscience to attacking real, hard peer-reviewed science — as if the two were the same thing.

P&T devoted much of one program to stating that global warming is bullshit.

By doing so, P&T said that the work of thousands of scientists was as false and dumb as the goofy guesses of a small town carnival fortune teller.

The DVD of that season’s programs is now for sale and YouTube videos from it are now being spread across the Internet.

As a result, the 2003 show where P&T assert as proven fact that global warming is bullshit is now finding a brand new audience — people who take as scientific proof Penn & Teller’s claim that global warming is bullshit.

We’ll leave aside that in 2003 the scientific record showed P&T’s claim was total, provable bullshit.

Today, in 2007, the scientific record is now 4 years deeper and 4 years thicker than in 2003.

It all shows that on the most issue important to face Homo sapiens in its history, Penn & Teller are the spoon benders they used to lampoon.

The cold, naked fork of science shows they are the charlatans, spewing lies as truth. And they are also the rubes, who believe in lies handed to them by the Cato Institute and Exxon and spout them as scientific fact.

So now, in 2007, will Penn & Teller have the guts to delete this 2003 episode from their DVD because its factual basis has been proven completely false?

Will they substitute this episode with a special “correction” edition and admit they were wrong?

BULLSHIT!

Skepticism: Healthy vs. Unhealthy

Posted January 21, 2007 by kennebecriver
Categories: Uncategorized

An analogy.

Man and wife in car, gas gauge on empty, gas station up ahead, last gas for 20 miles.

Healthy skeptic: We better get gas here because we’re on empty and the next gas station is 20 miles up the road.

Unhealthy skeptic: I doubt we’ll run out of gas that quickly. These gas gauges are never 100 percent accurate.

I would posit that “global warming skeptics” fit the second example.

The global warming skeptic turns the concept of caution on its head, ie. that we should be “cautious” about accepting global warming as fact.

The problem with following this type of “caution” is that it means we should continue to conduct our activities in a way that could spell disaster if the science of global warming accurately predicts the consequences of our ongoing actions.

Expressing “caution” in this sense is in fact the opposite of caution. It is the act of engaging in potentially disastrous behavior based solely upon the chance the disaster will not materialize.

It is analogous to expressing caution about the accuracy of your car’s gas gauge — rather than expressing caution at the prospect of running out of gas miles from the nearest gas station.

Google doesn’t like liars.

Posted January 20, 2007 by kennebecriver
Categories: Uncategorized

Mark Twain wrote, “A lie can travel halfway around the world before the truth puts its boots on.”

Our friend the Google is now erasing this disparity. And as Internet usage escalates, this disparity may well disappear completely.

Bad news for liars. Good news for everyone else.

A nice example of this is found at the Canadian website, DeSmog, which is devoted to climate change and to exposing the efforts of various polluting industries to spread disinformation about the scientific evidence which underlies climate change.

The folks at DeSmog came across a recent letter to the Canadian Government signed by 60 scientists who state their disbelief in the entire reality of global warming and climate change.

And with a little fact-checking using the Google and other tools, DeSmog has discovered that these 60 scientists are not quite the seekers of objective, untainted truth and quality science they outwardly profess to be. More precisely, they are a gaggle of industry shills.

The point here is not that various fossil fuel industries would stoop to creating an elaborate disinformation campaign using a false-front group of allegedly objective, disinterested scientists to tell mistruths, half truths and outright lies. We expect that.

The point is that with the Google and the exponential proliferation of the Internet, it is becoming much more difficult for strategies of disinformation to have a long enough shelf-life for them to achieve their intent.

Global Warming Skeptics

Posted January 20, 2007 by kennebecriver
Categories: Uncategorized

I have now officially filed self-professed “global warming skeptics” with:

a) “global warming denialists” and;

b) “evolution denialists”

I say this because global warming skeptics (GWS) tend to adopt the following positions:

a) I don’t know much about it and don’t intend to educate myself about it so I’ll drape my lack of interest in the faux noble cloth of rubbing my chin, pausing thoughtfully and saying “I’m skeptical” — as if adopting an actor’s guise of looking “thoughtful” was the same as actually thinking. This is often followed by the phrase, “Prove it to me.”

b) Saying “I’m a skeptic” makes it sound like one has actually educated themselves on the topic and is still “not convinced.” This posture automatically conveys the presumption that the person has actually studied the topic so intensively that they have a thorough, working knowledge of the underlying science. Since the “skeptic” is aware they have not done this, they are also aware that they are faking it.

Many people, especially men, have an odd tendency to falsely profess knowledge of a subject rather than simply admit they don’t know much about it. As if there is something so wrong with not knowing much about something that it is better to lie.

To be a “skeptic” one must be familiar, knowledgeable and conversant in the subject matter one is “skeptical” about.

The word for someone who is not familiar, not knowledgeable and not conversant on a subject is “ignorant.”

One cannot be skeptical of a subject of which they are ignorant. The two words are mutually exclusive.

Few people like to think of themselves as ignorant on a subject. Skeptical sounds much better — much more thoughtful and authoritative.

Perhaps this is because in our culture, the word ignorant is used as a synonym for stupid or dumb, ie. an ignoramus. This is unfortunate because the word ignorant actually carries a much different meaning. Used correctly it simply means to lack knowledge on a particular subject, with the direct implication that this can be quickly remedied by learning about that subject.

It is common for illiterate people to spend much of their lives trying to hide their inability to read instead of trying to fix it. This is in part because of the social stigma attached to someone who cannot read. To learn to read one must admit to someone else that they can’t read. Often this hump is perceived as too shameful to confront.

This stigma also attaches to scientific illiteracy. This is unfortunate for both the individual and society. The individual feels like an inhibited outcast; while society loses what could and should be an educated, informed and unique person.

So are all self-professed “skeptics” of Global Warming either ignorant of the subject or in willful denial?

No. Scientists themselves tend to be natural skeptics in the carpenter’s sense of “measure twice, cut once.” In fact, the entire practice of peer review in scientific journals is an institutionalized and refined program of skepticism.

However, when a research paper on a specific and often very narrow aspect of the immense field of climate science is presented for peer review, a reviewer is not allowed (nor do they) dismiss a paper by saying, “well, I’m just skeptical of the whole thing.” Being a skeptic is by definition a two way street.

Faux skeptics, the type described herein, fail to grasp or heed this concept.

The site Real Climate contains a virtual library of up-to-date information on the subject, at all technical levels from layman to Ph.D., in an easily readable and usable format. Best of all it is operated and moderated by actual, real, living scientists who make their living doing climate science.

I highly recommend it.

Taking Back the Kennebec River

Posted January 20, 2007 by kennebecriver
Categories: Uncategorized

Myself (Douglas Watts) and the organization Friends of Merrymeeting Bay have since fall 2005 been engaged in a legal effort before the Maine Board of Environmental Protection to have immediate, safe and effective fish passage installed at the four hydro-electric dams on the Kennebec River between Waterville and Skowhegan.

In spite of 16 months of disputatious legal wrangling with the dam owners, who have tried to defeat our effort, the Maine BEP has scheduled a formal public hearing on our request for March 15 and 16, 2007 to which the public is invited to speak.

The first step in this process, called an “adjudicatory public hearing”, is the submission of “pre-filed testimony” in which myself and Friends of Merrymeeting Bay formally present the factual evidence which we believe supports our request.

A full PDF copy of my Jan. 17, 2007 pre-filed testimony to the Maine Board of Environmental Protection can be downloaded at here.

Intelligent Design

Posted January 20, 2007 by kennebecriver
Categories: Uncategorized

The moment ID (Intelligent Design) was born, ie. when Creationists were forced for tactical reasons to externally sever any invocation of a Biblical Christian God, ID became an exercise in circular logic and self-refutation for the following reasons:

a) Any invocation of a “conscious” designer brings you right back to invocation of a God, leaving out the serious problem of how one can define “conscious” within this framework.

b) Invocation of a “non-conscious” designer brings you right back to the evolutionary theory of life; indeed, the two are different only in nomenclature.

ID was specifically created as a way to conceal its founders’ sole purpose and motivation: to teach Biblical Creationism in the classroom and prevent anything that contradicts Biblical Creationism from being taught in the classroom. Without this specific motivation, ID would not have been invented in the first place.


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